Weathering the Asian crisis : The role of China

During the Asian crisis, China's healthy reserves and low debt made possible the avoidance of a 'country run'. Nonetheless, it did experience an apparently autonomous rise in private savings and a rise in capital outflow. This paper employs global general equilibrium analysis to exami...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Yang, Yongzheng
Other Authors: Tyers, Rod
Format: Book
Published: Australia: Asia Pacific Press, 1999.
Subjects:
Online Access:http://apseg.anu.edu.au/pdf/china/cep00-1.pdf
Description
Summary:During the Asian crisis, China's healthy reserves and low debt made possible the avoidance of a 'country run'. Nonetheless, it did experience an apparently autonomous rise in private savings and a rise in capital outflow. This paper employs global general equilibrium analysis to examine the relative contributions of external and internal shocks in China during the crisis. The savings rise appears to have been dominant domestically and, by coincidence of timing, it was a significant contributor to the international effects of the crisis. The successful defence of fixed parity with the US dollar, however has made the combined shocks more contractionary in China than would have been the case had it been possible to retain a flexible exchange rate regime.